MLBengine v14
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Sean Keys

TOR · Hitter · 2 games projected since Sep 20, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Sean Keys · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 20 vs Jacob deGrom: 44.0% · 1 HSep 23 vs Trey Gibson: 58.5% · 1 HSep 20Sep 23

Hits in 2 of 2 settled games; the projections added up to 1.0. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

2 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 2BTB expected 1.0
Games with 2+ TB1 of 2BTB expected 0.6
Games with a HR0 of 2BTB expected 0.2

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 23Trey Gibson58.5%32.2%11.0%4110
Sep 20Jacob deGrom44.0%24.2%8.1%4120
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.