← All players

Fernando Tatis Jr.

SD · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Fernando Tatis Jr. · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.389.450.778.512.49125.0%5.0%27.8%92.9114.315.4%53.8%53.8%
Last 15 G1558.308.379.615.439.40524.1%6.9%23.6%93.2114.313.2%50.0%31.6%
Last 30 G29103.299.340.577.408.40423.3%3.9%21.8%94.4115.116.4%58.9%39.7%
90 days75261.291.352.536.399.39918.8%6.9%21.5%94.1115.713.2%54.5%34.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 189 balls in play
Ground 53%Line drive 20%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G22.500.500.500.450.2670.0%0.0%0.0%95.7101.70.0%50.0%0.0%
Last 15 G813.556.692.889.646.5167.7%30.8%11.1%95.0108.312.5%50.0%12.5%
Last 30 G1834.345.441.655.465.4428.8%14.7%15.1%87.6108.611.5%50.0%30.8%
90 days4192.299.413.662.452.44812.0%16.3%17.8%91.8113.215.2%54.5%30.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 66 balls in play
Ground 58%Line drive 18%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 5%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G522.400.455.750.507.47122.7%4.5%26.3%93.3114.313.3%53.3%46.7%
Last 15 G1571.344.437.656.477.42621.1%11.3%21.8%93.5114.313.0%50.0%28.3%
Last 30 G30137.310.365.595.422.41319.7%6.6%20.3%92.6115.115.2%56.6%37.4%
90 days78353.293.368.567.413.41217.0%9.3%20.6%93.5115.713.7%54.5%33.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 255 balls in play
Ground 54%Line drive 19%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 7%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSinker95.5102.31.456Single
Sep 24LHPCutter93.7101.70.472Single
Sep 23RHPSlider84.362.7-55.302Single
Sep 23RHPCutter90.7114.39.824Double
Sep 23LHPFastball94.289.6-23.062Out
Sep 23RHPFastball96.297.99.590Single
Sep 22RHPSweeper86.598.425.578Out
Sep 22RHPSweeper84.098.711.855Single
Sep 20RHPCutter90.365.720.553Out
Sep 20RHPSinker97.794.0-25.082Out
Sep 20RHPSlider87.6111.1312.013Home run
Sep 20RHPSweeper82.275.657.063Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24422011
Sep 23534001
Sep 22411002
Sep 20414100
Sep 19514101
Sep 18511012
Sep 17512011
Sep 16500001
Sep 15514101
Sep 14514101
FormNormal
Contact rating99Elite
Last 100 pitches100steady
wOBA / xwOBA.414 / .419results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit11/12
2+ total bases9/12
Home run5/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Fernando Tatis Jr. · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Fernando Tatis Jr. · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Tyler Phillips: 69.6% · 1 HSep 19 vs Eury Pérez: 67.7% · 1 HSep 22 vs Brock Stewart: 70.1% · 1 HSep 23 vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 70.4% · 3 HSep 24 vs Tyler Glasnow: 64.8% · 2 HSep 25 vs Brandon Pfaadt: 71.7% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 5 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 3.4. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit5 of 5BTB expected 3.4
Games with 2+ TB3 of 5BTB expected 2.3
Games with a HR1 of 5BTB expected 1.0
Talent grade—wOBA – · K% –

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Brandon Pfaadt71.7%46.9%19.8%not settled
Sep 24Tyler Glasnow64.8%37.5%21.5%4220
Sep 23Yoshinobu Yamamoto70.4%44.3%20.8%5340
Sep 22Brock Stewart70.1%50.0%20.4%4110
Sep 19Eury Pérez67.7%47.0%17.7%5141
Sep 18Tyler Phillips69.6%46.4%18.5%5110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.