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Gunnar Henderson

BAL · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Gunnar Henderson · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G411.222.364.556.473.38827.3%9.1%21.2%88.6106.916.7%33.3%33.3%
Last 15 G1341.324.439.529.445.42619.5%14.6%16.5%85.5106.911.5%38.5%50.0%
Last 30 G2680.258.388.424.374.35817.5%16.2%17.7%84.9106.95.8%30.8%36.5%
90 days69200.229.355.392.340.37718.5%14.0%18.8%89.5110.27.7%42.3%37.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 130 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 23%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 5%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G58.286.375.714.444.44725.0%12.5%50.0%79.5109.240.0%40.0%40.0%
Last 15 G1221.150.190.300.212.29638.1%4.8%26.5%88.1109.216.7%50.0%41.7%
Last 30 G2346.227.261.432.297.30330.4%4.3%21.8%86.3109.213.3%36.7%43.3%
90 days58122.221.279.381.291.28723.0%7.4%22.5%87.8109.24.8%38.1%40.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 84 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 25%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G519.250.368.625.461.41226.3%10.5%27.9%84.4109.227.3%36.4%36.4%
Last 15 G1562.259.355.444.366.38225.8%11.3%19.2%86.3109.213.2%42.1%47.4%
Last 30 G30126.245.341.427.346.33822.2%11.9%19.2%85.4109.28.5%32.9%39.0%
90 days74322.226.326.387.321.34320.2%11.5%20.2%88.8110.26.5%40.7%38.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 214 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 24%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 8%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23RHPFastball92.576.8-54.295Error
Sep 23RHPCurveball79.984.042.005Out
Sep 21RHPCutter93.3106.9221.517Home run
Sep 21RHPSplitter83.376.947.064Out
Sep 21LHPFastball94.0104.9231.474Triple
Sep 21RHPSinker82.988.217.795Single
Sep 20RHPSinker96.498.5-16.159Out
Sep 19LHPSinker92.858.153.021Out
Sep 19LHPSweeper81.564.749.134Out
Sep 19LHPSinker92.9109.218.998Double
Sep 19LHPSinker97.960.4-58.248Out
Sep 18LHPSinker95.194.316.746Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23400012
Sep 23300011
Sep 21438100
Sep 20400002
Sep 19412000
Sep 18533001
Sep 16400001
Sep 15511004
Sep 14414101
Sep 13511031
FormHot
Contact rating79Above average
Last 100 pitches100trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.323 / .349running 26 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases6/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeCBalanced type
wOBA.330
Barrel%4.5%
Hard-hit%27.6%
K%20.4%
BB%11.1%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Gunnar Henderson · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Gunnar Henderson · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Dustin May: 57.7% · 3 HSep 19 vs Robert Gasser: 55.9% · 1 HSep 20 vs Jacob Misiorowski: 53.7% · no hitSep 23 vs CJ Van Eyk: 65.5% · no hitSep 25 vs Brendan Beck: 63.6% · 2 HSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 3 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 3.0. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 5BTB expected 3.0
Games with 2+ TB3 of 5BTB expected 1.7
Games with a HR0 of 5BTB expected 0.5
Talent gradeCwOBA .330 · K% 20.4%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Brendan Beck63.6%40.1%14.2%5220
Sep 23CJ Van Eyk65.5%39.4%11.3%3000
Sep 20Jacob Misiorowski53.7%30.1%8.9%4000
Sep 19Robert Gasser55.9%30.4%7.2%4120
Sep 18Dustin May57.7%32.1%9.8%5330
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.