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Leo Bernal
STL · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.
Statcast
by window and pitcher handLeo Bernal · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 15 | .133 | .133 | .333 | .253 | .207 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 20.5% | 85.4 | 108.5 | 11.1% | 22.2% | 33.3% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 47 | .261 | .277 | .478 | .356 | .349 | 25.5% | 2.1% | 21.3% | 91.2 | 108.5 | 14.7% | 50.0% | 41.2% |
| Last 30 G | 21 | 66 | .274 | .318 | .500 | .376 | .342 | 22.7% | 6.1% | 20.3% | 91.6 | 109.8 | 10.6% | 51.1% | 38.3% |
| 90 days | 21 | 66 | .274 | .318 | .500 | .376 | .342 | 22.7% | 6.1% | 20.3% | 91.6 | 109.8 | 10.6% | 51.1% | 38.3% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 47 balls in play
Ground 38%Line drive 19%Fly ball 38%Pop-up 4%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 3 | 6 | .200 | .333 | .200 | .267 | .145 | 50.0% | 16.7% | 50.0% | 82.2 | 85.8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Last 15 G | 8 | 16 | .267 | .312 | .333 | .291 | .264 | 31.2% | 6.2% | 25.0% | 92.3 | 104.0 | 0.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% |
| Last 30 G | 11 | 24 | .304 | .333 | .348 | .306 | .332 | 29.2% | 4.2% | 22.2% | 96.0 | 107.6 | 0.0% | 75.0% | 56.2% |
| 90 days | 11 | 24 | .304 | .333 | .348 | .306 | .332 | 29.2% | 4.2% | 22.2% | 96.0 | 107.6 | 0.0% | 75.0% | 56.2% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 16 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 38%Fly ball 19%Pop-up 0%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 21 | .150 | .190 | .300 | .257 | .189 | 42.9% | 4.8% | 27.5% | 84.8 | 108.5 | 9.1% | 18.2% | 27.3% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 63 | .262 | .286 | .443 | .340 | .327 | 27.0% | 3.2% | 22.2% | 91.4 | 108.5 | 11.4% | 52.3% | 43.2% |
| Last 30 G | 21 | 90 | .282 | .322 | .459 | .357 | .339 | 24.4% | 5.6% | 20.9% | 92.7 | 109.8 | 7.9% | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| 90 days | 21 | 90 | .282 | .322 | .459 | .357 | .339 | 24.4% | 5.6% | 20.9% | 92.7 | 109.8 | 7.9% | 57.1% | 42.9% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 63 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 24%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 3%
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | RHP | Slider | 87.9 | 87.4 | 31 | .016 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Changeup | 85.4 | 61.8 | 75 | .006 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Changeup | 88.6 | 67.7 | -41 | .116 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Cutter | 92.2 | 84.1 | 8 | .410 | Single |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Fastball | 98.1 | 91.3 | 44 | .008 | Out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Curveball | 76.2 | 90.0 | 7 | .422 | Error |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Slider | 92.1 | 108.5 | 26 | 1.956 | Home run |
| Sep 19 | LHP | Fastball | 93.3 | 85.8 | -4 | .126 | Single |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Sinker | 101.0 | 97.1 | -11 | .152 | Out |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Sweeper | 82.3 | 80.4 | 43 | .019 | Out |
| Sep 19 | LHP | Fastball | 92.0 | 78.7 | 47 | .045 | Out |
| Sep 18 | RHP | Sinker | 95.6 | 77.3 | 16 | .765 | Single |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sep 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 20 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 18 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 14 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
FormCold
Contact rating88Excellent
Last 100 pitches3trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.352 / .363results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run2/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Talent
Talent gradeBPower type
wOBA.327
Barrel%5.2%
Hard-hit%30.8%
K%23.5%
BB%7.2%
A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.
xwOBA76.339
Avg EV9792.7
Max EV53109.8
Barrel%627.9%
Hard-hit%9957.1%
Sweet-spot%9342.9%
K%3724.4%
BB%205.6%
Whiff%5920.9%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
Hits in 4 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 3.8. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.
Predicted vs what happened
6 settled gamesGames with a hit4 of 6BTB expected 3.8
Games with 2+ TB2 of 6BTB expected 2.0
Games with a HR1 of 6BTB expected 0.6
Talent gradeBwOBA .327 · K% 23.5%
One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.
| Date | Facing | 1+ hit | 2+ TB | HR | PA | H | TB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | Robert Gasser | 66.0% | 38.7% | 13.0% | not settled | |||
| Sep 24 | Paul Skenes | 62.0% | 29.1% | 10.6% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 23 | Lake Bachar | 67.4% | 38.1% | 12.7% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 22 | Jared Jones | 63.2% | 34.2% | 11.6% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | Jake Irvin | 66.0% | 40.8% | 12.2% | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Sep 19 | Andrew Alvarez | 62.7% | 32.8% | 8.2% | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | Cade Cavalli | 60.2% | 29.0% | 9.6% | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 |