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Iván Herrera

STL · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Iván Herrera · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.143.250.357.269.35543.8%0.0%39.3%86.0107.528.6%28.6%28.6%
Last 15 G1551.143.275.214.278.33127.5%9.8%24.1%88.7107.57.1%39.3%32.1%
Last 30 G2996.202.292.333.322.32427.1%8.3%21.7%89.2108.56.9%44.8%34.5%
90 days75237.219.278.344.297.28024.1%5.5%20.1%89.2109.84.4%40.6%28.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 160 balls in play
Ground 56%Line drive 21%Fly ball 16%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G57.667.7141.333.821.67414.3%14.3%15.4%95.9111.120.0%40.0%80.0%
Last 15 G812.400.500.800.537.48416.7%8.3%12.5%93.2111.112.5%25.0%50.0%
Last 30 G2036.355.444.484.412.34419.4%11.1%17.6%89.0111.14.2%25.0%37.5%
90 days53110.258.373.366.341.34817.3%12.7%18.1%88.3111.55.4%32.4%39.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 74 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 24%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 15%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G523.300.391.650.437.45234.8%4.3%31.7%90.1111.125.0%33.3%50.0%
Last 15 G1563.192.317.327.328.36025.4%9.5%21.4%89.7111.18.3%36.1%36.1%
Last 30 G30132.243.333.374.347.33025.0%9.1%20.4%89.1111.16.1%39.0%35.4%
90 days79347.231.308.351.311.30221.9%7.8%19.5%88.9111.54.7%38.0%32.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 234 balls in play
Ground 50%Line drive 22%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 10%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSinker96.158.9-23.050Out
Sep 24LHPSinker96.677.721.860Single
Sep 23RHPSlider88.3104.8341.440Out
Sep 23RHPSweeper89.090.6-13.145Out
Sep 23RHPSplitter84.392.7-19.133Double play
Sep 20RHPSinker91.477.356.054Out
Sep 20RHPFastball93.6107.5221.517Home run
Sep 20LHPFastball97.8111.1252.000Home run
Sep 19LHPSlider84.9101.2-11.198Out
Sep 19LHPCurveball84.694.725.274Double
Sep 19LHPSinker90.794.910.689Single
Sep 19RHPSweeper82.770.221.877Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24411002
Sep 23500010
Sep 22400004
Sep 20428201
Sep 19634001
Sep 18411001
Sep 16100010
Sep 15300001
Sep 14400010
Sep 13400001
FormNormal
Contact rating48Average
Last 100 pitches99trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.309 / .314results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit4/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeCBalanced type
wOBA.328
Barrel%3.7%
Hard-hit%26.6%
K%21.9%
BB%8.0%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Iván Herrera · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Iván Herrera · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Cade Cavalli: 52.8% · 1 HSep 19 vs Andrew Alvarez: 54.6% · 3 HSep 20 vs Jake Irvin: 57.0% · 2 HSep 22 vs Jared Jones: 55.2% · no hitSep 23 vs Lake Bachar: 61.9% · no hitSep 24 vs Paul Skenes: 58.4% · 1 HSep 25 vs Robert Gasser: 62.9% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 4 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 3.4. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit4 of 6BTB expected 3.4
Games with 2+ TB2 of 6BTB expected 1.7
Games with a HR1 of 6BTB expected 0.4
Talent gradeCwOBA .328 · K% 21.9%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Robert Gasser62.9%36.3%12.1%not settled
Sep 24Paul Skenes58.4%27.4%8.1%4110
Sep 23Lake Bachar61.9%33.2%8.3%5000
Sep 22Jared Jones55.2%27.1%7.5%4000
Sep 20Jake Irvin57.0%31.4%7.6%4282
Sep 19Andrew Alvarez54.6%27.1%6.3%6340
Sep 18Cade Cavalli52.8%23.1%6.2%4110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.