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Manny Machado

SD · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Manny Machado · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.167.200.333.225.21025.0%5.0%22.0%83.3108.67.1%14.3%21.4%
Last 15 G1555.149.236.340.251.24821.8%10.9%21.2%84.1108.65.4%21.6%27.0%
Last 30 G28103.221.330.384.335.33316.5%14.6%19.2%86.4109.27.0%33.8%29.6%
90 days74257.257.350.459.364.35119.5%12.5%21.4%89.7112.09.8%43.1%36.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 174 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 23%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G22.000.000.000.000.21050.0%0.0%28.6%109.8109.80.0%100.0%0.0%
Last 15 G913.167.231.167.192.26315.4%7.7%23.3%96.0111.710.0%50.0%20.0%
Last 30 G1631.222.290.333.277.31322.6%9.7%23.7%91.8111.79.5%47.6%33.3%
90 days3982.211.280.324.271.31723.2%9.8%27.5%90.7111.77.4%44.4%31.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 54 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 22%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G522.150.182.300.205.21027.3%4.5%22.9%85.1109.86.7%20.0%20.0%
Last 15 G1568.153.235.305.240.25120.6%10.3%21.6%86.6111.76.4%27.7%25.5%
Last 30 G30134.221.321.372.322.32917.9%13.4%20.2%87.6111.77.6%37.0%30.4%
90 days77339.246.333.427.342.34320.4%11.8%22.8%89.9112.09.2%43.4%35.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 228 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 23%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 11%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball96.994.255.015Out
Sep 24RHPSweeper86.086.335.032Out
Sep 23RHPSlider87.480.649.026Sac fly
Sep 23RHPSinker94.5108.6252.007Home run
Sep 23RHPCutter90.192.163.011Out
Sep 23LHPChangeup87.5109.8-2.419Double play
Sep 23RHPSinker95.590.342.004Out
Sep 22RHPSlider90.355.5-50.226Out
Sep 22RHPSinker93.558.8-7.044Force out
Sep 20RHPFastball97.480.772.000Out
Sep 20RHPSlider83.279.585.000Out
Sep 19RHPSlider87.951.850.015Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24400002
Sep 23514100
Sep 22400011
Sep 20400002
Sep 19522001
Sep 18500012
Sep 17400000
Sep 16511001
Sep 15411010
Sep 14514100
FormNormal
Contact rating89Excellent
Last 100 pitches3trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.344 / .364running 20 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Manny Machado · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Manny Machado · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Tyler Phillips: 59.7% · no hitSep 19 vs Eury Pérez: 56.5% · 2 HSep 22 vs Brock Stewart: 59.2% · no hitSep 23 vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 61.4% · 1 HSep 24 vs Tyler Glasnow: 57.5% · no hitSep 25 vs Brandon Pfaadt: 66.4% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 2.9. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 5BTB expected 2.9
Games with 2+ TB2 of 5BTB expected 1.9
Games with a HR1 of 5BTB expected 0.7
Talent grade—wOBA – · K% –

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Brandon Pfaadt66.4%42.1%15.2%not settled
Sep 24Tyler Glasnow57.5%32.8%16.9%4000
Sep 23Yoshinobu Yamamoto61.4%38.3%15.0%5141
Sep 22Brock Stewart59.2%43.4%15.2%4000
Sep 19Eury Pérez56.5%39.6%13.5%5220
Sep 18Tyler Phillips59.7%39.7%14.2%5000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.