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Pedro Pagés

STL · Hitter · 2 games projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Pedro Pagés · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G38.375.375.375.338.20025.0%0.0%23.5%82.098.40.0%16.7%16.7%
Last 15 G1332.296.406.296.334.29521.9%15.6%22.2%84.8105.80.0%30.0%30.0%
Last 30 G1841.250.341.250.290.28226.8%12.2%22.4%86.7105.80.0%36.0%28.0%
90 days1841.250.341.250.290.28226.8%12.2%22.4%86.7105.80.0%36.0%28.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 25 balls in play
Ground 56%Line drive 16%Fly ball 16%Pop-up 12%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G36.000.167.000.117.16450.0%16.7%66.7%96.099.40.0%50.0%50.0%
Last 15 G611.100.182.100.145.19545.5%9.1%31.6%87.099.40.0%40.0%40.0%
Last 30 G1222.143.182.143.155.15240.9%4.5%33.3%83.5106.10.0%33.3%25.0%
90 days1222.143.182.143.155.15240.9%4.5%33.3%83.5106.10.0%33.3%25.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 12 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 8%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 25%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G514.231.286.231.243.18435.7%7.1%34.8%85.599.40.0%25.0%25.0%
Last 15 G1543.243.349.243.286.26927.9%14.0%24.4%85.3105.80.0%32.0%32.0%
Last 30 G2463.211.286.211.242.23631.7%9.5%26.2%85.7106.10.0%35.1%27.0%
90 days2463.211.286.211.242.23631.7%9.5%26.2%85.7106.10.0%35.1%27.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 37 balls in play
Ground 51%Line drive 14%Fly ball 19%Pop-up 16%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 19LHPFastball93.198.41.396Out
Sep 19LHPSweeper83.456.6-67.216Single
Sep 19LHPChangeup84.290.19.516Single
Sep 16RHPSlider88.892.630.189Out
Sep 3LHPFastball96.462.5-17.033Out
Sep 3LHPSlider90.394.23.423Single
Aug 27LHPFastball92.390.259.013Out
Aug 27RHPFastball95.399.444.098Out
Aug 23LHPSinker95.5104.5-9.258Single
Aug 23LHPSinker93.789.2-3.182Out
Aug 23RHPSinker101.398.54.460Out
Aug 21LHPFastball96.580.848.026Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 19422001
Sep 16300011
Sep 15100001
Sep 3211000
Aug 27400002
Aug 26100010
Aug 23411001
Aug 21311010
Aug 18411011
Aug 17200001
FormNormal
Contact rating3Bottom tier
Last 100 pitches14trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.240 / .235results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases1/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.288
Barrel%3.4%
Hard-hit%23.9%
K%27.5%
BB%6.7%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Pedro Pagés · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Pedro Pagés · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 19 vs Andrew Alvarez: 35.4% · 2 HSep 25 vs Robert Gasser: 53.7% · not settledSep 19Sep 25

Hits in 1 of 1 settled games; the projections added up to 0.4. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

1 settled games
Games with a hit1 of 1BTB expected 0.4
Games with 2+ TB1 of 1BTB expected 0.2
Games with a HR0 of 1BTB expected 0.0
Talent gradeFwOBA .288 · K% 27.5%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Robert Gasser53.7%27.3%8.1%not settled
Sep 19Andrew Alvarez35.4%18.9%4.7%4220
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.