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Jordan Walker

STL · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Jordan Walker · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G517.067.176.067.135.23335.3%11.8%38.2%92.0110.011.1%55.6%0.0%
Last 15 G1445.125.222.150.186.26031.1%11.1%35.4%96.0117.211.5%61.5%11.5%
Last 30 G2893.176.237.259.242.25032.3%7.5%35.6%91.7117.210.7%55.4%16.1%
90 days73232.252.302.407.320.29527.6%6.0%32.3%90.9117.211.8%46.7%27.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 152 balls in play
Ground 51%Line drive 15%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G24.000.000.000.000.27250.0%0.0%50.0%103.7112.150.0%100.0%50.0%
Last 15 G69.125.222.125.178.26744.4%11.1%41.2%100.6112.125.0%75.0%25.0%
Last 30 G1327.269.296.423.346.32440.7%3.7%36.5%95.2112.113.3%66.7%40.0%
90 days4289.250.360.434.371.38323.6%14.6%28.0%92.8115.010.9%52.7%43.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 55 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 27%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.053.143.053.110.24138.1%9.5%40.5%94.1112.118.2%63.6%9.1%
Last 15 G1554.125.222.146.184.26233.3%11.1%36.4%96.6117.213.3%63.3%13.3%
Last 30 G30120.198.250.297.265.26734.2%6.7%35.8%92.5117.211.3%57.7%21.1%
90 days77321.252.318.414.334.32026.5%8.4%31.1%91.4117.211.6%48.3%31.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 207 balls in play
Ground 50%Line drive 18%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 10%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball97.4104.7-25.157Out
Sep 23RHPFastball94.677.833.085Single
Sep 23RHPFastball94.999.52.432Out
Sep 23RHPSlider82.681.477.005Out
Sep 22RHPFastball96.7106.6401.150Out
Sep 22RHPFastball95.471.658.023Out
Sep 22RHPSlider91.370.4-38.111Out
Sep 20RHPFastball93.6110.0-4.423Out
Sep 20LHPChangeup80.395.2-30.077Out
Sep 19LHPCurveball84.4112.1171.013Out
Sep 19RHPFastball97.5106.0-18.183Force out
Sep 18RHPSinker95.398.5-41.090Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24400012
Sep 23411001
Sep 22300000
Sep 20400011
Sep 19600004
Sep 18311001
Sep 16500022
Sep 15300001
Sep 14411011
Sep 13300002
FormNormal
Contact rating62Average
Last 100 pitches35trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.333 / .328results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit4/12
2+ total bases1/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeBPower type
wOBA.318
Barrel%7.3%
Hard-hit%31.1%
K%26.6%
BB%8.1%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Jordan Walker · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Jordan Walker · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Cade Cavalli: 48.6% · 1 HSep 19 vs Andrew Alvarez: 52.9% · no hitSep 20 vs Jake Irvin: 53.2% · no hitSep 22 vs Jared Jones: 47.3% · no hitSep 23 vs Lake Bachar: 58.9% · 1 HSep 24 vs Paul Skenes: 55.4% · no hitSep 25 vs Robert Gasser: 62.5% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 3.2. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 6BTB expected 3.2
Games with 2+ TB0 of 6BTB expected 1.7
Games with a HR0 of 6BTB expected 0.6
Talent gradeBwOBA .318 · K% 26.6%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Robert Gasser62.5%38.9%15.4%not settled
Sep 24Paul Skenes55.4%26.8%10.8%4000
Sep 23Lake Bachar58.9%33.5%10.0%4110
Sep 22Jared Jones47.3%23.5%8.2%3000
Sep 20Jake Irvin53.2%32.3%10.2%4000
Sep 19Andrew Alvarez52.9%28.9%8.2%6000
Sep 18Cade Cavalli48.6%22.0%7.6%3110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.