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Ryan Jeffers

MIN · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Ryan Jeffers · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G48.000.000.000.000.16737.5%0.0%28.6%90.3104.30.0%60.0%40.0%
Last 15 G1333.103.182.172.221.26824.2%6.1%19.3%90.5104.64.5%45.5%36.4%
Last 30 G2670.194.271.452.332.32721.4%8.6%17.2%89.1108.314.6%45.8%39.6%
90 days48133.217.286.417.318.30419.5%7.5%17.6%86.9109.68.4%40.0%33.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 95 balls in play
Ground 47%Line drive 19%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G510.222.300.222.244.21320.0%10.0%23.5%84.0101.00.0%42.9%28.6%
Last 15 G1328.154.214.269.215.23828.6%7.1%21.1%85.8107.45.6%44.4%27.8%
Last 30 G2247.167.255.286.244.27721.3%10.6%13.2%86.7108.13.1%40.6%28.1%
90 days3780.235.350.382.331.32520.0%15.0%12.4%87.0108.13.8%38.5%32.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 52 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 25%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G518.125.167.125.129.19127.8%5.6%25.8%86.6104.30.0%50.0%33.3%
Last 15 G1561.127.197.218.218.25426.2%6.6%20.0%88.4107.45.0%45.0%32.5%
Last 30 G30117.183.265.385.298.30821.4%9.4%15.8%88.1108.310.0%43.8%35.0%
90 days53213.223.310.404.323.31219.7%10.3%15.8%86.9109.66.8%39.5%33.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 147 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 21%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 7%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23LHPChangeup87.795.8-6.214Single
Sep 23LHPFastball92.790.343.015Out
Sep 21RHPSinker94.083.583.008Out
Sep 19LHPFastball94.452.810.100Out
Sep 19LHPFastball94.484.243.017Out
Sep 19RHPSinker96.697.819.380Out
Sep 19LHPSlider86.665.97.195Out
Sep 19LHPCutter88.4101.0-21.102Out
Sep 18RHPFastball93.697.1-1.309Out
Sep 18RHPCurveball78.968.8-20.029Out
Sep 18RHPSlider83.9104.318.608Sac fly
Sep 18LHPSinker89.397.714.873Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23411002
Sep 21400003
Sep 19500000
Sep 18411000
Sep 17100010
Sep 16500013
Sep 14400001
Sep 13400002
Sep 11411001
Sep 8423010
FormNormal
Contact rating66Above average
Last 100 pitches0trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.320 / .331results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit4/12
2+ total bases1/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Ryan Jeffers · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Ryan Jeffers · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Grayson Rodriguez: 59.0% · 1 HSep 19 vs Reid Detmers: 57.8% · no hitSep 21 vs Blade Tidwell: 57.1% · no hitSep 23 vs Cesar Perdomo: 62.3% · 1 HSep 25 vs Jacob deGrom: 59.7% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 2.4. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

4 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 4BTB expected 2.4
Games with 2+ TB0 of 4BTB expected 1.3
Games with a HR0 of 4BTB expected 0.4
Talent grade—wOBA – · K% –

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Jacob deGrom59.7%34.0%10.7%not settled
Sep 23Cesar Perdomo62.3%33.1%10.1%4110
Sep 21Blade Tidwell57.1%29.4%8.5%4000
Sep 19Reid Detmers57.8%33.2%11.0%5000
Sep 18Grayson Rodriguez59.0%30.6%10.1%4110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.