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Thomas Saggese

STL · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Thomas Saggese · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.000.200.000.140.25333.3%6.7%28.1%86.9103.80.0%14.3%42.9%
Last 15 G1548.205.250.227.239.32018.8%2.1%15.5%92.8111.05.6%50.0%41.7%
Last 30 G2064.298.344.404.341.34515.6%4.7%16.2%91.8111.06.1%44.9%40.8%
90 days2064.298.344.404.341.34515.6%4.7%16.2%91.8111.06.1%44.9%40.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 49 balls in play
Ground 41%Line drive 27%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 4%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G35.000.200.000.140.36860.0%20.0%45.5%101.9101.9100.0%100.0%100.0%
Last 15 G813.182.308.182.246.32946.2%15.4%42.9%94.8109.420.0%40.0%60.0%
Last 30 G1223.278.391.611.413.37939.1%17.4%35.0%92.6109.430.0%50.0%40.0%
90 days1223.278.391.611.413.37939.1%17.4%35.0%92.6109.430.0%50.0%40.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 10 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 10%Fly ball 50%Pop-up 0%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.000.200.000.140.28240.0%10.0%32.6%88.8103.812.5%25.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1561.200.262.218.240.32224.6%4.9%20.2%93.1111.07.3%48.8%43.9%
Last 30 G2287.293.356.453.360.35421.8%8.0%20.6%91.9111.010.2%45.8%40.7%
90 days2287.293.356.453.360.35421.8%8.0%20.6%91.9111.010.2%45.8%40.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 59 balls in play
Ground 41%Line drive 24%Fly ball 32%Pop-up 3%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSweeper85.690.630.061Out
Sep 22RHPFastball97.085.119.829Out
Sep 20LHPChangeup78.7101.9251.144Out
Sep 20RHPSinker100.5103.8-11.253Out
Sep 19RHPSweeper83.584.729.088Out
Sep 19RHPCutter88.759.0-65.256Out
Sep 18RHPFastball95.492.733.149Out
Sep 18RHPSlider88.592.443.007Out
Sep 16RHPFastball96.896.8-15.200Out
Sep 16RHPSinker94.5100.025.733Sac fly
Sep 16RHPSinker98.8100.3-12.269Error
Sep 16RHPSweeper86.357.0-84.131Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24400002
Sep 22300011
Sep 20400002
Sep 19500012
Sep 18400001
Sep 16511001
Sep 15411000
Sep 14422000
Sep 13300001
Sep 12411001
FormNormal
Contact rating93Top tier
Last 100 pitches42trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.362 / .373results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit5/12
2+ total bases1/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeCBalanced type
wOBA.313
Barrel%4.4%
Hard-hit%29.1%
K%24.9%
BB%6.7%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Thomas Saggese · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Thomas Saggese · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Cade Cavalli: 60.1% · no hitSep 19 vs Andrew Alvarez: 61.8% · no hitSep 20 vs Jake Irvin: 61.4% · no hitSep 22 vs Jared Jones: 57.2% · no hitSep 24 vs Paul Skenes: 59.1% · no hitSep 25 vs Robert Gasser: 63.0% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 0 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 3.0. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit0 of 5BTB expected 3.0
Games with 2+ TB0 of 5BTB expected 1.4
Games with a HR0 of 5BTB expected 0.4
Talent gradeCwOBA .313 · K% 24.9%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Robert Gasser63.0%36.6%11.9%not settled
Sep 24Paul Skenes59.1%26.8%7.4%4000
Sep 22Jared Jones57.2%28.0%7.7%3000
Sep 20Jake Irvin61.4%34.0%9.0%4000
Sep 19Andrew Alvarez61.8%31.7%7.3%5000
Sep 18Cade Cavalli60.1%23.8%6.9%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.