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Alec Burleson
STL · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.
Statcast
by window and pitcher handAlec Burleson · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 13 | .154 | .154 | .385 | .223 | .252 | 30.8% | 0.0% | 18.4% | 96.6 | 110.9 | 11.1% | 55.6% | 11.1% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 42 | .222 | .333 | .500 | .358 | .416 | 28.6% | 14.3% | 23.7% | 96.9 | 110.9 | 16.7% | 75.0% | 29.2% |
| Last 30 G | 29 | 84 | .234 | .298 | .377 | .299 | .343 | 23.8% | 8.3% | 21.7% | 93.6 | 110.9 | 12.3% | 61.4% | 35.1% |
| 90 days | 76 | 214 | .290 | .360 | .487 | .373 | .390 | 19.6% | 8.9% | 21.5% | 93.2 | 110.9 | 14.6% | 56.3% | 39.1% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 151 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 25%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 12%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 6 | .167 | .167 | .167 | .150 | .112 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 23.1% | 76.4 | 94.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% |
| Last 15 G | 12 | 17 | .250 | .294 | .375 | .294 | .195 | 23.5% | 5.9% | 12.9% | 81.3 | 112.0 | 0.0% | 16.7% | 41.7% |
| Last 30 G | 22 | 37 | .235 | .270 | .294 | .258 | .228 | 21.6% | 5.4% | 19.1% | 85.6 | 112.0 | 0.0% | 30.8% | 34.6% |
| 90 days | 58 | 106 | .242 | .283 | .364 | .293 | .292 | 25.5% | 5.7% | 25.9% | 89.6 | 112.0 | 5.6% | 40.3% | 33.3% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 72 balls in play
Ground 53%Line drive 25%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 4%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 19 | .158 | .158 | .316 | .200 | .207 | 31.6% | 0.0% | 19.6% | 90.4 | 110.9 | 7.7% | 38.5% | 23.1% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 59 | .231 | .322 | .462 | .340 | .353 | 27.1% | 11.9% | 21.0% | 91.7 | 112.0 | 11.1% | 55.6% | 33.3% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 121 | .234 | .289 | .351 | .287 | .308 | 23.1% | 7.4% | 21.1% | 91.1 | 112.0 | 8.4% | 51.8% | 34.9% |
| 90 days | 79 | 320 | .274 | .334 | .445 | .347 | .357 | 21.6% | 7.8% | 22.9% | 92.1 | 112.0 | 11.7% | 51.1% | 37.2% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 223 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 25%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 9%
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 96.9 | 85.4 | 4 | .293 | Out |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Sinker | 97.5 | 110.9 | 4 | .606 | Out |
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 95.9 | 104.6 | 33 | 1.640 | Home run |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Changeup | 85.7 | 94.8 | 80 | .010 | Out |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Slider | 83.1 | 86.8 | 21 | .417 | Single |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Curveball | 85.8 | 96.3 | -12 | .130 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Slider | 90.3 | 94.1 | 46 | .003 | Out |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Sinker | 98.4 | 94.0 | 37 | .111 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Fastball | 99.0 | 96.2 | 72 | .003 | Out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Curveball | 78.5 | 87.7 | 45 | .006 | Out |
| Sep 20 | LHP | Slider | 87.0 | 54.6 | 12 | .106 | Out |
| Sep 20 | LHP | Curveball | 81.3 | 70.1 | -11 | .035 | Out |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 23 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sep 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 16 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 15 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
FormCold
Contact rating94Top tier
Last 100 pitches3trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.347 / .378running 31 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases6/12
Home run2/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Talent
Talent gradeAPower type
wOBA.348
Barrel%7.8%
Hard-hit%34.9%
K%21.0%
BB%7.8%
A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.
xwOBA89.357
Avg EV9392.1
Max EV80112.0
Barrel%8711.7%
Hard-hit%9551.1%
Sweet-spot%6537.2%
K%5321.6%
BB%397.8%
Whiff%4922.9%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
Hits in 2 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 3.2. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.
Predicted vs what happened
5 settled gamesGames with a hit2 of 5BTB expected 3.2
Games with 2+ TB1 of 5BTB expected 1.9
Games with a HR1 of 5BTB expected 0.6
Talent gradeAwOBA .348 · K% 21.0%
One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.
| Date | Facing | 1+ hit | 2+ TB | HR | PA | H | TB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | Paul Skenes | 61.9% | 32.9% | 12.7% | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Sep 23 | Lake Bachar | 67.2% | 41.9% | 13.5% | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 22 | Jared Jones | 60.9% | 36.2% | 12.0% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | Jake Irvin | 65.5% | 45.0% | 13.9% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | Cade Cavalli | 62.3% | 33.3% | 10.6% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |